Capital Markets

Capital markets intelligence for consequential real estate decisions.

CMRE Partners tracks widely-used public market data alongside property and submarket context as inputs to acquisition, financing, leasing, and portfolio conversations.

Seattle skyline from Elliott Bay

Official market snapshotas of Friday, July 3, 2026

CMRE Market Intelligence Desk

A capital-markets read built for real estate decisions: what money costs, where the curve is signaling caution, and how rate pressure translates into acquisition, refinancing, leasing, and hold / sell conversations.

Market Pulse

The four rates CMRE references most in underwriting and client conversations.

2s/10s spread+31 bps
10-Yr Treasury
CRE Anchor
4.48%
Permanent-debt and cap-rate reference
The reference point for cap-rate conversations and long-term debt. A modest move here can change value expectations quickly.
Fed Funds (Eff.)
Policy Base
3.63%
Short-rate policy signal
The policy rate still frames bank credit appetite, floating-rate debt, and the pace at which borrowers regain flexibility.
WSJ Prime
Construction
6.75%
Bridge and construction benchmark
Prime-linked debt remains a high hurdle for projects that rely on rent growth, entitlement upside, or a future takeout.
30-Day SOFR Avg
Floating
3.63%
Base index before spread and cap cost
CMRE looks at the all-in cost of floating debt, not the headline index, especially where extension risk matters.
U.S. Treasury Curve

Constant-maturity yields across the curve. Toggle to compare policy and lending benchmarks.

2s/10s spread: +31 bps (positive / normally sloped). Dated public snapshot shown until live series load.

Curve Signal

2s / 10s spread

+31 bps
InvertedFlatSteep

A modest positive slope suggests less stress than an inversion, while still demanding discipline on exit cap assumptions.

Cost Of Capital

Debt and benchmark ladder

10-Yr Treasury4.48%

Long-term risk-free anchor

SOFR + 250~6.13%

Illustrative floating CRE coupon

WSJ Prime6.75%

Prime-linked bridge / construction base

30-Yr Mortgage6.43%

Residential sentiment and buyer-cost proxy

Scenario Desk

Rate sensitivity

Illustrative float coupon~6.13%
Cap-rate pressureBase case
Value disciplineHold assumptions tight

Base case uses SOFR plus an illustrative 250 bps spread. It is a sensitivity view, not a quote, forecast, or financing recommendation.

Yield Curve Detail

Maturity-by-maturity read

MaturityYield
1 Month3.67%
3 Month3.85%
6 Month4.00%
1 Year4.00%
2 Year4.17%
3 Year4.19%
5 Year4.24%
7 Year4.35%
10 Year4.48%
20 Year4.97%
30 Year4.97%

PNW Implications

How the tape changes the conversation

OfficeSelective

Tenancy, credit, and basis matter more than headline vacancy. Capital patience favors owners with a real plan.

IndustrialDisciplined

Demand is still location-specific, but higher debt costs punish generic basis and speculative timing.

MultifamilyRate-Gated

Permanent debt remains the gatekeeper; rent growth must be underwritten against realistic exit cap assumptions.

Land / EntitlementsOption Value

Duration is the asset. Carry, entitlement path, and partner structure decide whether patience is rewarded.

Decision Translation

From market data to principal-level guidance.

AcquireStress the exit before the entry

Re-run basis at +25 / +50 bps and confirm the debt takeout still works.

RefinanceProtect optionality

Compare fixed, floating, and extension paths before the maturity date compresses leverage.

Hold / LeasePreserve NOI quality

Tenant credit and lease duration can offset rate pressure when capital markets stay selective.

DisposeControl the buyer narrative

Translate rate pressure into concrete underwriting support, not vague market commentary.

Questions about what these numbers mean for a decision? - our clearly labeled AI information desk, tied to the live data above.

Each series carries its own observation date. These are public market readings, not CMRE forecasts or live quotes.

Sources: Federal Reserve H.15, NY Fed SOFR, Freddie Mac PMMS, and FRED where configured. Each series reports its own observation date. Figures are presented for context, not as forecasts, quotes, or recommendations, and should be re-verified before use in a client deliverable. Nothing in this section constitutes investment, legal, tax, financing, or brokerage advice for a specific transaction.